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https://news.mit.edu/2020/modeling-impact-of-testing-contact-tracing-quarantine…

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MIT News is one of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's main news sites. Its goal is to "promote MIT’s research, innovations, teaching and newsworthy events and people to the campus community, the news media and the general public." MIT News provides school announcements, community news, and media services. The AllSides Bias Rating™ for MIT News is center. With community feedback and more research, the bias rating of center may be subject to change.

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Testing, contact tracing, and quarantining infected people are all tools in the effort to mitigate the spread of Covid-19. So are mask-wearing and social distancing. But what impact does each have? A study co-authored by MIT researchers finds that robust testing, contact tracing, and quarantining by household can keep cases within the capacity of the health-care system — preventing a “second wave” — while allowing for the reopening of some economic activities.

The paper, published Aug. 5 in Nature Human Behaviour, details a novel model that integrates anonymized, real-time mobility data with census and demographic data to map Covid-19 transmission in the Boston, Massachusetts area. The authors include Esteban Moro, a visiting research scientist in the MIT Media Lab and MIT Connection Science, and Alex “Sandy” Pentland, director of MIT Connection Science and a professor in the Media Lab and the Institute for Data, Systems, and Society (IDSS).