Studies Suggest Omicron is Much Less Severe Than Other COVID-19 Variants

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Two studies published Wednesday suggest that the highly contagious Omicron variant of COVID-19 is much less likely to cause hospitalization and severe illness than the previously-dominant Delta variant.

A study of cases in the United Kingdom from researchers at the Imperial College London estimated that Omicron patients were 20-25% less likely to need hospital care and 40-45% less likely to be hospitalized for one night or more than Delta variant patients. A study of cases in South Africa from the country's National Institute for Communicable Diseases also found that Omicron patients were 80% less likely to be hospitalized than other COVID-19 patients, and said the difference was "likely a result of high population immunity." Neither study has yet been peer reviewed. The World Health Organization's COVID-19 lead said Wednesday that because the variant hasn't circulated "for long enough in populations around the world," it's still too early to draw conclusions about its severity. The Omicron variant reportedly accounts for roughly three-quarters of U.S. COVID-19 cases, and as much as 90% in some areas. So far, very few COVID-19 deaths have been attributed to Omicron relative to other variants.

Media outlets across the political spectrum framed the studies as a positive development. Some reports from left- and center-rated sources highlighted how health authorities are still urging caution alongside the optimistic studies. Some coverage from right-rated outlets focused on how the U.K. study also suggested that natural immunity reduces the risk of hospitalization and multi-night hospital stays by over 50%.

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People who get COVID-19 from the Omicron virus variant are less likely to require hospital care, according to a UK study published Wednesday.

Researchers from the Imperial College London estimated (pdf) that Omicron patients were 20- to 25-percent less likely to need hospital care and 40- to 45-percent less likely to be hospitalized for one night or more when compared to patients with the Delta variant.

South African data offered a glimmer of hope on Wednesday about the severity of the Omicron coronavirus variant, but World Health Organization officials cautioned that it was too soon to draw firm conclusions as the strain spread across the globe.

With the second Christmas of the pandemic days away, countries imposed new restrictions on their citizens while worrying about the damage the variant might inflict on their economies.

Plans for Christmas parties and celebrations were wiped out from London to New Delhi amid the uncertainty.

Two studies from Scotland and England analyzing rates of hospital treatment for those infected with Omicron suggest the coronavirus variant may cause less severe disease than previous variants, although scientists caution more research is needed.

Early data from Scotland indicates that there is a two-thirds reduction in hospitalization of double vaccinated young adults, compared with the Delta variant. In addition, data from England signals that Omicron infection is associated with a 15 to 20 percent reduced risk in requiring any hospital treatment, compared with Delta.