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Join Living Room Conversations, our civil dialogue partner, and America Indivisible for a nationwide conversation on April 13, Thomas Jefferson’s 276th birthday. "Reckoning with Jefferson: A Nationwide Conversation on Race, Religion, and the America We Want to Be" will be held via in-person and online video discussions. Sign up today!

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According to a New York Times (Lean Left bias) poll, former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in five battleground states.

Key Details: The poll, which surveyed 4,097 registered voters, showed Trump leading in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania - battleground states that Biden won in 2020. As long as Biden does not lose any of the states he won four years ago, victories in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin would likely be enough for him to win re-election.

Key Quote: "Trump's strength is largely thanks to gains among young, Black and Hispanic voters," writes Nate Cohn, the Times' chief political analyst. Biden campaign pollster Geoff Garin said, "The only consistency in recent public polls is inconsistency. These results need to be weighed against the 30-plus polls that show Biden up and gaining,"

For Context: Economic issues, immigration, and the Israel-Hamas war have caused dissatisfaction among many voters.

How the Media Covered it: Some sources on the left noted an erosion of support for Biden among minority voters and young voters who are upset about the economy and Gaza. The New York Post (Lean Right bias) noted that many voters polled thought Trump would be the candidate to drive much-needed change, though many of them admitted that they dislike Trump.

Update 05/17/24 4:53pm ET: Previous version incorrectly said the number of registered voters surveyed was "4,97" instead of 4,097.

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Former President Donald Trump is leading President Biden in five critical, toss-up swing states — all of which Biden won in 2020, a new set of polls revealed.

Surveys by the New York Times, Siena College and the Philadelphia Inquirer found that Trump was more popular than Biden among voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania, while Biden led among voters in only one battleground state, Wisconsin.

Former President Trump leads President Biden in hypothetical head-to-head general election match-ups in five of six key battleground states, polling released Monday shows.

The New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer polling, conducted from April 28 to May 9, shows Trump leading Biden among registered voters in Pennsylvania (47 percent to 44 percent), Arizona (49 percent to 42 percent), Michigan (49 percent to 42 percent), Georgia (49 percent to 39 percent) and Nevada (50 percent to 38 percent).