Who Will Pay the Cost of Trump's Tariffs?

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President-elect Trump said he "can't guarantee" households won't pay more because of tariffs. Across the political spectrum, people are wondering how much more.

For Context: Trump has threatened to impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada if they don't do more to address unauthorized immigration. On the campaign trail, he said he would impose a 20% universal tariff on all trade partners and 60% or more on China. A Tax Policy Center analysis suggested, if implemented, the plan would cost households $3,000 more per year on average. 

Tariffs Will Cost Americans More: In CNN Business (Lean Left bias) and CBS News (Lean Left bias) writers argued that Trump doesn't understand the effects tariffs would have, not only would they raise consumer prices on imported goods, but they could lead to price increases in domestically made products and undo decades of globalization. Pieces in CNBC (Center bias) and National Review (Right bias) also pointed out the high consumer cost of potential tariffs.

The Tariffs Are Already Working: Some point out that Trump is using tariffs as a negotiating tactic and may not follow through. David Zervos, chief market strategist at Jefferies, said Trump's tariff policies are likely “starting gambits” meant to “coerce” trading partners during negotiations. An Epoch Times (Lean Right bias) analysis mentions Canada has introduced increased border security, which could be a reaction to Trump's threats. General Motors CEO Mary Barra said that tariffs could have a substantial impact of her company but "described Trump’s tariff threats as part of the negotiating process to bring competitor countries to the table, and implied the president-elect’s economic strategy might be effective," according to the Washington Examiner (Lean Right bias).

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General Motors CEO Mary Barra expressed tentative optimism about how President-elect Donald Trump’s America First agenda will affect the manufacturing industry during his second term. 

Trump has promised to enact massive tariffs on competitor countries in order to bring back manufacturing jobs to the United States in cities such as Detroit, where GM and other top automotive companies are based.  

Incoming President Donald Trump has made his feelings about tariffs very clear: "The word 'tariff' is the most beautiful word in the dictionary," he has said. "I think it's more beautiful than 'love.' … I love tariffs! … Music to my ears!"

And what exactly is a tariff? It is a tax. According to Dartmouth economics professor Doug Irwin, "In U.S. history, we're basically only talking about import tariffs, taxes on imported goods coming into the U.S."

U.S. consumers would likely see prices increase if President-elect Donald Trump follows through with a plan to levy import tariffs, experts said Tuesday during CNBC’s Financial Advisor Summit.

“Either way, there is a cost to consumers,” said Erica York, senior economist at the Tax Foundation.

A tariff is a tax placed on imported goods. Tariffs are paid by U.S. companies that import those goods.